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"Krisis nilai tukar memiliki dampak yang buruk bagi perekonomian suatu negara. Oleh karena itu, dibutuhkan sistem peringatan dini atau early warning system untuk memprediksi terjadinya krisis tersebut. Dengan menggunakan perangkat Early Warning System pengambil kebijakan dapat melakukan antisipasi terjadi krisis. Sehingga kerugian atau risiko yang ditimbulkan oleh krisis dapat dihindari ataupun diminimalisir. Penelitian ini mencoba untuk mengembangkan early warning system model dengan menggunakan pendekatan multinomial logit. Pendekatan model multinomial logit digunakan untuk mengatasi permasalah yang muncul pada penelitian-penelitian early warning system sebelumnya yaitu permasalahan post crisis bias.Penelitian ini melakukan analisis yang early warning system model dengan menggunakan variabel dependen: rasio trade balance terhadap PDB, rasio utang jangka pendek terhadap cadangan devisa, overvaluation of exchange rate yang dicerminkan dengan menggunakan real effective exchange rate (REER), pertumbuhan PDB riil, sektor finansial yang lemah yang dicerminkan dengan varibel indeks pertumbuhan kredit domestik terhadap sektor swasta, dan contagion variable yang diukur dengan menggunakan jumlah interdependensi keuangan dikalikan dengan exchange market pressure. Hasil penelitian dengan menggunakan data Indonesia periode 1990-2005 menujukan bahwa penggunaan model multinomial logit sebagai model Early Warning System cukup bagus dalam memberikan sinyal terjadinya krisis."

"Contents : Who makes the rules? -- The board’s role -- Director independence -- Executive compensation -- Internal controls -- The gatekeepers -- Shareholder empowerment"

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh harga minyak, arus kas operasional, dan long-term debt terhadap return saham. Sampel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah perusahaan minyak dan gas yang terdaftar di New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) periode 2006 hingga 2013. Penelitian dilakukan dengan membagi periode menjadi tiga bagian, yaitu sebelum, saat, dan setelah krisis keuangan global. Hasil penelitian ini menyatakan perubahan harga minyak dan perubahan arus kas operasional berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap return saham pada keseluruhan periode. Sedangkan long-term debt tidak berpengaruh terhadap return saham pada periode sebelum krisis.

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This study is aimed to examine the effect of oil price, operating cash flow, and also long-term debt on stock return. Sample used in this study is the oil and gas companies listed in New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) for the period 2006-2013. The study is divided into three periods namely before, during, and after global financial crisis. The results of this study find that changes in oil price and changes in operating cash flow have positive and significant impact to stock return for all periods. While for long-term debt, there is no significant effect to stock return before the crisis period.;"

"ABSTRAKEfek dari krisis ekonomi semakin lama semakin meluas. Krisis Asia 1997-1998 dan Krisis Global 2008 adalah contoh nyata penyebaran krisis ekonomi. Melalui metode komparasi, tinjauan literatur ini melihat bagaimana perkembangan kanal penyebaran krisis saat Asia 1997- 1998 dan Krisis Global 2008. Terlihat adanya perbedaan signifikansi kanal antara Krisis Asia dan Krisis Global. Signifikansi kanal fundamental dan makroekonomi dipertanyakan oleh para akademisi karena sulit ditemukan bukti empiris bahwa krisis dapat menyebar melalui kanal tersebut. Pada kanal hubungan finansial, tren menunjukkan bahwa kanal hubungan finansial semakin dipercayai sebagai kanal yang sangat signifikan dalam penyebaran krisis, terbukti dari perkembangan tulisan ilmiah yang lebih banyak membahas tentang kanal tersebut. Untuk kanal hubungan perdagangan, signifikansinya dirasakan menurun dari Krisis Asia ke Krisis Global walaupun masih tetap penting untuk sebagian negara berkembang yang menggantungkan perekonomiannya kepada pasar luar negeri. Sedangkan kanal perilaku investor semakin disoroti oleh para akademisi mengingat hubungannya yang dekat dengan kanal hubungan finansial sehingga potensi penyebaran krisisnya juga semakin besar.

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ABSTRACTThe financial crisis effects so many countries in the world. Asian Financial Crisis 1997- 1998 and Global Financial Crisis 2008 are the living examples of the contagion effect. By using contrasting method this literature review sees the evolution of the contagion channels from Asian Financial Crisis 1997-1998 to Global Financial Crisis 2008. There are some differences in the significance of the contagion channels between the Asian Financial Crisis and the Global Financial Crisis. The significancy of macroeconomic fundamentals channels are questioned by scholars because there is no empirical evidance that crisis can spread through that channels. Financial relationships channels are increasingly believed to be a more significance channels, proven by more academic research towards that channels. For trade relations channels, the significance are perceived to be declining although it is still important for some developing countries who have economic dependency towards foreign market. Investor behavior channels are increasingly highlighted by scholars considering its close relations with the financial relations channels."

""This volume presents the first thorough sociologically-informed legal analysis of the financial crisis which unfolded in 2008. It combines a multitude of theoretically informed analyses of the causes, dynamics and reactions to the crisis and contextualises these within the general structural transformations characterising contemporary society. It furthermore explores the constitutional implications of the crisis and suggests concrete changes to the constitutional set-up of contemporary society. Although the question of individual responsibility is of crucial importance, the central idea animating the volume is that the crisis cannot be reduced to a mere failure of risk perception and management for which individual and collective actors within and outside of financial organisations are responsible. The 2008 crisis should rather be understood as a symptom of far deeper structural transformations. For example contemporary society is characterised by massive accelerations in the speed with which societal processes are reproduced as well as radical expansions in the level of globalisation. These transformations have, however, been asymmetrical in nature insofar as the economic system has outpaced its legal and political counterparts. The future capability of legal and political systems to influence economic reproduction processes is therefore conditioned by equally radical transformations of their respective operational forms and self-understanding. Potentially the 2008 crisis, therefore, has far-reaching constitutional implications"--Provided by publisher.ContentsConstitutional moment? The logics of 'hitting the bottom' /​ Gunther TeubnerTowards a general theory of function system crises /​ Rudolf StichwehFinancial market crisis : a case of network failure? /​ Karl-Heinz LadeurDeath by complexity : the financial crisis and the crisis of law in world society /​ Moritz RennerPolitical epidemiology and the financial crisis /​ Urs StäheliReturn of crisis /​ Hauke BrunkhorstCulture form of crisis /​ Dirk BaeckerWhat is a crisis? /​ Jean ClamEroding boundaries : on financial crisis and an evolutionary concept of regulatory reform /​ Marc AmstutzFailure of regulatory institutions : a conceptual framework /​ Alberto FebbrajoStruggles for law : global social rights as an alternative t financial market capitalism /​ Kolja MöllerEthics of the financial crisis /​ Aldo MascareñoFuture of the state /​ Chris ThornhillLaw and order within and beyond national configurations /​ Poul F. Kjaer."

"A country always wants a constant and high quality growth in economy so that its people will prosper. Economic growth requires improvement in productivity which could be accomplished by using the output approach. This approach is done by increasing Gross Domestic Product through the increase of capital inflow to be invested. Primarily, the source of investment comes from the national savings. However, if insufficient, capital can be collected from foreign investors in the from of foreign direct investment (FDI), Recently, the 2008-2009 global economic crisis faced by almost all countries throughout the world has brought a negative impact on the global FDI trend. Looking at recovery signals of this crisis, Indonesia should take advantage of this momentum by eliminating its weaknesses and limiting external impediments which could negatively impact the process of attracting FDI. This article aims to analyze steps that need to be taken by the Indonesian government in order to increase the FDI inflows to Indonesia after the 2008-2009 global financial crisis. "

"The latest global financial crisis was not merely provoked by the fate of the United States (US) financial and economic system. At a wider perspective, it is indeed a result of crisis in global governance which was caused by the exclusivity of state members playing role as decision makers in world economic and financial sector, and the weakness of surveillance as well as regulation concerning the dynamics of financial sector at the global stage. G20, therefore, has been a significant forum to respond to the global financial crisis and as an effort to establish a new world economic order that can cope with the dynamics of international changes. This writing is aimed to highlights: (i) The focus of Indonesian economic diplomacy within the G20 forum during the 2008-2009 global financial crisis; (ii) The opportunities and challenges that Indonesia faces in G20 during the crisis; and (iii) The implementation of global governance concept in international relations in the framework of G20."