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"This book presents state-of-the-art probabilistic methods for the reliability analysis and design of engineering products and processes. It seeks to facilitate practical application of probabilistic analysis and design by providing an authoritative, in-depth, and practical description of what probabilistic analysis and design is and how it can be implemented. The text is packed with many practical engineering examples (e.g., electric power transmission systems, aircraft power generating systems, and mechanical transmission systems) and exercise problems. It is an up-to-date, fully illustrated reference suitable for both undergraduate and graduate engineering students, researchers, and professional engineers who are interested in exploring the fundamentals, implementation, and applications of probabilistic analysis and design methods."

"By considering ways in which planning practices can be renewed and exploring the possibilities for acquiring awareness and tools to add value to strategic decision making, Complex strategic choices presents a methodology which is further illustrated by a number of case studies and example applications. Dr. Techn. Steen Leleur has adapted previously established research based on feedback and input from various conferences, journals and students resulting in new material stemming from and focusing on practical application of systemic planning. The outcome is a coherent and flexible approach named systemic planning. The inclusion of both the theoretical and practical aspects of systemic planning makes this book a key resource for researchers and students in the field of planning and decision analysis as well as practitioners dealing with strategic analysis and decision making. More broadly, Complex Strategic Choices acts as guide for professionals and students involved in complex planning tasks across several fields such as business and engineering. "

"This study addresses the hub network design problem considering demand uncertainty and hub congestion effects. The problem is formulated as a two-stage stochastic program with recourse model. The model provides a consistent set of hub locations, while adjusting network configuration in response to different demand realizations. A case study collected from real-world data was used to test the proposed model, and a sensitivity analysis was performed to know how several important parameters affected the solution"

"Tujuan investor dalam berinvestasi adalah memaksimalkan reium, tanpa melupakan foktor risiko investasi yang harus dihadapi. Reiurn merupakan salah satu faktor yang memotivasi investor bcrinvestasi dan juga merupakan imbalan atas keberanian investor menanggung risiko atas investasi yang tclah dilalcukannya.Tingkat pengembalian (rate of return) saham dipengaruhi oleh beberapa risiko berikut ini :a. Suku BungaPerubahan suku bunga dapat mempengaruhi variabilitas return suatu invcstasi. Perubahan suku bunga akan mempengaruhi harga saham secara terbalik, ceteris paribus.b. InflasiInflasi yang meningkat akan mengurangi kckuatan daya bcli rupiah yang tclah diinvestasikan. c. PasarFluktuasi pasar secara kcscluruhan yang mempengaruhi variabilitas return Suatu investasi disebut sebagai risiko pasar. Fluktuasi pasar biasanya ditunjukkan oleh herubahnya indcks pasar saham secara keseluruhan.d. Nilai Tukar Mata UangRisiko ini berkaitan dengan fluktuasi nilai tukar mata uang domestik (negara perusahaan tersebut) terhadap nilai mata uang negara Iainnya.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk : (1) untuk melihat hubungan perubahan tingkat suku bunga, nilai tukar dan tingkat pengembalian pasar terhadap tingkat pengembalian saham, dan (2) untuk melihat signifikansi perubahan suku bunga, nilai tukar dan tingkat pengembalian pasar terhadap tingkat pengembalian saham.Penelitian dilakukan terhadap 30 (tiga puluh) jcnis saham yang memberikan sumbangan sebesar 74,77% terhadap kapitalisai pasar di Bursa Efek Jakarta pada tahun 2001. Dengan memplot data populasi penelitian terhadap fonnulasi model hipotesis, kemudian dilakukan regresi terhadap model hipotcsis dengan menggunakan Ordinary Least Square (OLS-modeD yang terdapat pada program EVIEWS 3.0.Hasil penelitian memperlihatkan bahwa : (1) mayoritas saham yang diteliti memiliki tingkat pengembalian lebih tinggi dibandingkan dengan tingkat pengembalian pasar, (2) lebih dari separuh saham yang diteliti ternyata menunjukkan korelasi negatif dan§§1 aE[fmbmm nilai tukar dengan tingkat pengcebalian sahanq, dan (3) Iebih dari separuh saham yang diteliti menunjulckan korelasi positif dan signifikan antara suku bunga dengan tingkat pengembalian saham."