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Hasil Pencarian

Ditemukan 64212 dokumen yang sesuai dengan query
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Ibrahim Kholilul Rohman Havid Rozaq
"In the economic literature, the relationship between the growth and inflation has been discussed in different ways with respect to the development stages of the world economy. According to the current view, there is a negative relationship between growth and inflation. This seems to be compatible with the fact that the investments and the economic growth have been negatively affected by the high and chronic inflation rates. Thus, improvement of the long-run growth potential depends on the elimination of the uncertainties that stems from high inflation rates. Developments in commodity, service and financial markets necessitate the countries to perceive the world as a global market. The countries (or provinces in our study now) that appraise this process of decentralizations could improve their living standards economically and socially if and only if they manage inflation well hence the economic cost and social cost both are minimize for sustainable growth in each province."
2003
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Joko Waluyo
"The main purpose of this study is to find the effect of budget deficit with foreign loans as source of funding on inflation and economic growth. This study focuses on transmission mechanism of budget deficit funding effects on inflation and economic growth. We use a specific simultaneous macroeconomic model which includes 17 behavioral equations and 18 identity equations with 6 blocks in this study, Two Stage Least Square (TSLS) method is employed to estimate the behavioral equations in the model. This study use Indonesia secondary economic data from 1970 to 2003. Econometric tests are performed to produce BLUE estimator. This study also use stochastic simulation with 10000 replications to simulate policy.The results show that using foreign loan to fund budget deficit increases both economic growth and inflation. This result is also supported by the simulation results which show that increase in the proceeds of new foreign loan increases reserves which in turn increase primary money/money supply/monetary base. Interaction of monetary base with money multiplier then increases price level. increase in capital in flow from increase in foreign loan increases government spending which also increases government spending increases in the government spending then add to government capital stock so that economic growth also increases."
2006
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Simarmata, Djamester
"This article discusses the indirect roles of urban economy to the national economy through its property and land market. Some national economic instruments have inevitable effects on the local variables, making the concept of regional autonomy limited. The level of interest rates is determined by the central bank, which has a strong nationwide effects, influencing the valuation of property and land, namely in the urbanized areas. One of the main concerns of many people and both local and national governments in the urbanized area is on housing. How should the national policies and local policies be harmonized so that the lower households could afford decent shelters for their families? And how should the policies on the property sectors with its interrelation to the banking system be remedied in order to avoid its negative impacts to the national economy. As is well known, the land and property sector largely depend on local policies."
2003
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Teguh Yudo Wicaksono
"Lucas - Rapping model is considered as successful model to explain the labor force in America. We are apply this model on Indonesian case to analyze the fluctuation of labor force and to know wether the shift on labor supply and unemployment is a function of current real wage or not. We also intend to analyze behaviour of household to respond the real wage change.
From demand side, we can trace out how deep the education role on labor force quality. The conclusion may be helpfull on determining appropriate policy on education sector.
We use data from BPS including Indikator Ekonomi dan Keuangan, Statistik Ketenagakerjaan (Sakernas), Keadaan Pekerja/Karyawan di Indonesia, Survei Sosial dan Ekonomi Nasional (SUSENAS) or Survei Penduduk Nasional (Supas). The rest of data is collected from international sources such as Summers Hestona PennWorld Table, data Barro and Lee and data Bank Dunia."
2003
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Onny Noyorono
1987
S-Pdf
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Ferry Prasetyia
"The aim of this paper was to determine the effect of public sector expenditure to economic growth and poverty in all provinces in Indonesia during period 2006 to 2008. Using Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) approach, the result showed that public sector expenditure on education and health sector had significant effect inboosting economic growth. In addition, the output produced by the education and health sector, both of the output had significant effect on economic growth. While, public sector expenditure on infrastructure had insignificant effect. Furthermore, this study showed that public sector expenditure on education and health also had significant effect in reducing the number of poor through the outcome such as form of school enrollment, literacy, infant mortality and life expectancy. On the other hand, the effect of economic growth to reduce the number of poor was not significant."
2011
AJ-Pdf
Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Dwinanda Ardhi Swasono
"Abstract
This research is conducted to investigate the correlation of fiscal deficit to economic growth in Indonesia during 1990-2012. Contribution of this study is the use of cointegration and Error Correction Model, we confirmed mainstream macroeconomic theory where fiscal deficit has positive and signicant impact to economic growth. Government is recommended to undertake fiscal deficit within the 3% boundary allowed by State Budget Law.
Abstrak
Studi ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh defisit fiskal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 1990-2012. Kontribusi studi ini adalah pengunaan metode kointegrasi dengan Error Correction Model. Kami mengonfirmasi hipotesa teori dan menemukan defisit fiskal berdampak positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Pemerintah disarankan untuk mengambil kebijakan fiskal yang ekspansif dengan memperhatikan undang-undang Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara yang menetapkan maksimal defisit sebesar 3%."
2016
J-pdf
Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Suahasil Nazara
"Abstract
Indonesia telah membangun ekonomi lebih dari empat dekade. Pada tahun 1968, Indonesia pertama kalinya mencatat pertumbuhan double-digit setelah mengalami pergolakan politik, ekon0nu' dan sosial di pertengahan tahun 1960-an (Hill 1996: 11). Indonesia memasuki dekade 1970-an dengan fokus pada pembangunan ekonomi. Selama tiga dekade pertama, pembangunan ekonomi disusun dalam rangkaian pembanglman lima tahunan yang dieksplisitkan dalam dokumen perencanaan yang dikenal dengan Rencana Pembangunan Lima Tahun (Repelita). Antara tahun 1969-1994, Indonesia menjalani lima periode Repelita yang juga merupakan periode Pembanglman Iangka Panjang Tahap I (PIPT I). Pembang1man Lima Tahun keenam, untuk periode 1994-1999 sesungguhnya adalah tahap pertama dari PIPT H. Pemerintahan Presiden Suharto berakhir pada tahun 1998, dan setelah itu pemerintahan Presiden Habibie menjadi transisi dari penemuan jati diri bangsa memasuki periode Reformasi. Ketlka Repelita tidak lagi dilanjutkan, pemerintahan Presiden Abdurrahman Wahid menetapkan Program Pembangunan Nasional (P1-openas) 2000-2004 (Undang-Undang Nomor 25 Tahun 2000) sebagai landasan dan pedoman bagi pemerintah dan penyelenggara negara dalam melaksanakan pembangunan lima tahun, dan pelaksanaannya dilanjutkan oleh Presiden Megawati Sukamopuh.-i. Pemerintahan Presiden Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono kemudian menelurkan perencanaan dalam dokumen yang disebut dengan Rencana Pembangunan Iangka Menengah (RPIM) dengan durasi lima tahunan. RPIM yang ada saat ini, yaitu untuk periode 2010-2014, merupakan kelanjutan dari RPIM 2004-2009. RPIM itu sendiri sesuai dengan amanat Undang?Undang Nomor 25 Tahun 2004 mengenai Sistem Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional, disusun berdasarkan Rencana Pembanglman Iangka Panjang 2005-2025 (Undang-Undang Nomor 17 Tahun 2007)."
2010
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Ghozali Maski
"The economic growth of the country is inseparable from the development of its financial sector. Therefore, this research attempted to prove the existence of causality between financial sector and economic growth in Indonesia using data between Q1 of 1996 to Q4 of 2006. The variables used as proxy for financial sector are monetization, private credit, total deposits, stock market capitalism, and stock market value traded?while the real GDP is used as a proxy for economic growth. This research aims to determine which variable is the most dominant influence in the shock given in causality result.This research methodology used Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger causality. VECM is used to find out the dominant variable that gave shock, while Granger causality is used to detect the causality between variables. Granger causality test shows the existence of one way causality between real GDP and private credit, total deposit, and stock market value traded. These causalities come from three sources. First, from real GDP to private credit; second, from real GDP to stock market value traded; and the last, from total deposit to real GDP. Meanwhile, VECM test shows the result that the economic growth can be a boosting factor for Indonesian financial sector growth. Moreover, the dominant variable in creating shock on economic growth is stock market value traded.
The Granger causality estimation shows that there are one-way causalities between real GDP and private credit, total deposit, and stock market value traded."
2010
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Ahmad Nawawi
"Abstract
This paper presents an analysis of the effect of fiscal policy in Indonesia based on a VAR approach. Fiscal policy shocks are identified as a structural residuals related to unexpected government expenditures and tax revenues. Impulse responses are then used to simulate the dynamic response of key macroeconomics variables of shocks. The analysis shows that GDP responses negatively to tax shocks, and positively to expenditure shock. Moreover, disposable income and private consumption
react negatively to taxation and positively to government expenditures. Altogether the results are consistent with that of Keynesian models."
2010
PDF
Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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