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"Penelitian ini mendalami mengenai peran perkembangan sektor finansial terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Variabel-variabel sektor finansial yang digunakan adalah kapitalisasi pasar saham, kredit perbankan, dan jumlah uang beredar. Sementara itu perekonomian direpresentasikan dengan variabel PDB (Produk Domestik Bruto). Analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode vector error correction model (VECM) dan impulse response function. Hasil analisis dengan menggunakan metode VECM menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka panjang variabel-variabel perkembangan sektor finansial memiliki hubungan jangka panjang dengan PDB. Berdasarkan analisis impulse response function, terlihat bahwa shock positif kapitalisasi pasar, kredit perbankan, dan jumlah uang beredar direspon positif searah oleh PDB.

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This research is exploring on the role of financial sector development to economic growth. Financial sector variables that are used in this is stock market capitalization, banking credit and money supply. Meanwhile, economy is represented by GDP. Analysis used in this research is Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), impulse response function. The result of the analysis shows that in the long term, financial development variables have causality relationship with GDP. Based on impulse response function analysis, it is seen that positive shock of financial sector variables responded with the increasing GDP in the next 10 years."

"The objective of this paper is to analyze the causal relationship between export and economic growth in Indonesia for the period of 1971-97. The method used in this study is almost similar to previous studies tarried out by Yung and Marshall (1935) and Dodaro (1993) It is concluded from the present study that there is no causal relationship between export and import growth, at least in the period under study. Nonetheless, combining this conclusion with those of previous studies, one mm? infer that export does affect economic growth at feast for the first fifteen years of development in Indonesia (1971-85} Sttch effects, however, would be getting weaker and weaker afterward. Since the current economic crisis could be considered as the starting point for another new economic development, export promotion seems to be a reasonable policy. Under the current exchange rate regime, exports of low-import content commodities, including agricultural commodities, have to be promoted."

"Salah satu target utama pembangunan pertanian terkait dengan globalisasi ekonomi dan penerapan kebijakan liberalisasi perdagangan di sektor pertanian adalah mempercepat pertumbuhan ekonomi sektor pertanian melalui perdagangan internasional khususnya ekspor dan dengan meningkatnya arus masuk modal asing termasuk melalui PMA. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk: (i) menganalisis pengaruh ekspor, impor, serta PMA terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di sektor pertanian, dan sebaliknya pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap ekspor, impor dan PMA di sektor pertanian; (ii) menganalisis pengaruh guncangan pada ekspor, impor serta PMA terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di sektor pertanian dan pengaruh guncangan pada PDB terhadap ekspor, impor dan PMA di sektor pertanian. Adapun metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Vector Autoregression (VAR) dengan data triwulanan tahun 1995-2011.Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terdapat hubungan dua arah yang positif dan signifikan antara ekspor pertanian dan PDB pertanian. Sedangkan hubungan impor pertanian terhadap PDB pertanian hanya satu arah yang bernilai negatif dan signifikan namun tidak terjadi sebaliknya. Sementara hubungan PDB pertanian dengan PMA pertanian menunjukkan hasil tidak adanya hubungan. Hasil analisis Impulse Response Function (IRF) memperlihatkan bahwa respon PDB pertanian terhadap guncangan pada ekspor pertanian paling besar. Hal sebaliknya juga berlaku terhadap guncangan PDB pertanian yang direspon lebih besar oleh ekspor pertanian dibandingkan impor pertanian. Hasil variance decomposition, juga mendukung hasil IRF dimana dekomposisi varian PDB pertanian terbesar diberikan oleh ekspor pertanian disusul oleh PMA pertanian dan impor pertanian. Dekomposisi varian ekspor pertanian dengan nilai terbesar diberikan oleh ekspor, PDB, PMA dan impor di sektor pertanian. Adapun impor pertanian dan PMA pertanian memberikan pengaruh yang terbesar terhadap perubahan variabel impor pertanian dibandingkan ekspor dan PDB di sektor pertanian. Dekomposisi varian untuk PMA pertanian disumbangkan oleh PMA pertanian dan PDB pertanian dengan nilai tertinggi, kemudian ekspor dan impor di sektor pertanian.

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One of the main targets of agricultural development associated with economic globalization and the implementation of trade liberalization policies in the agricultural sector is to accelerate economic growth in the agricultural sector through export and international trade particularly with the increased inflow of foreign capital, including FDI. This study aimed to: (i) analyze the effect of export, import and FDI in agricultural sector on economic growth in the agricultural sector and likewise the effect of economic growth on export, import and FDI in the agricultural sector and analyzes the effect of shocks on export, import and FDI on economic growth in agricultural sector and the effect of GDP shocks on exports, imports and FDI in the agricultural sector. The method used in this study is Vector Autoregression (VAR) with quarterly data started in 1995 until 2011.

The results showed that there is a two-way positive and significant correlation between agricultural export and agricultural GDP. While the relationship of agricultural import to agricultural GDP is only one way that is negative and significant, but not the other way around. While there is no relationship between the agricultural GDP and agricultural FDI. Impulse Response Function (IRF) analysis showed that the response of agricultural GDP due to agricultural export shock is the most. The opposite also applies to agricultural GDP shock responded by a larger agriculture export than agriculture import. The results of variance decomposition also supports the results of IRF. It is showed that the largest agricultural GDP variance decomposition given by export followed FDI and agricultural import. Variance decomposition of agricultural exports shows the greatest value given by export, GDP, FDI and import in the agricultural sector. The import of agriculture and agricultural FDI influences on more changes in agricultural import than export and GDP in the agricultural sector. Decomposition of variance for agricultural FDI is contributed by agricultural GDP with the highest value, then export and import in the agricultural sector."

"Tesis ini membahas bagaimana pengaruh investasi (PMDN dan PMA) serta tenaga kerjaterhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi provinsi-provinsi di Pulau Jawa (DKI Jakarta, JawaBarat, Jawa Tengah, Jawa Timur dan DI Yogyakarta). Penelitian ini menggunakanpanel data tahun 1990-2007. Penelitian ini dimulai dengan analisis deskriptif, analisisregresi (cross section OLS), panel data (common dan fixed effect) serta uji chow untukmenentukan model terbaik dan didapatkan fixed effect sebagai model terbaik. Penelitianini menunjukkan bahwa variabel PMDN, tenaga kerja dan periode waktu (dummykrisis) berpengaruh terhadap PDRB sedangkan PMA tidak berpengaruh terhadapPDRB.

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This thesis discuses how the impact of investment (PMDN and PMA) and labor to economic growth in the provinces in Java Island (Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, East Java and Yogyakarta). This study uses panel data year 1990-2007. This research began with descriptive analysis, regression analysis (OLS Cross Section), panel data (fixed and common effect) and the chow test to determine the best model and established as a fixed effect model best. Research shows that this variable PMDN, labor and time period (crisis dummy) effect on GDP regional while PMA did not effect the GDP regional."