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"This research aim to analyze variables that influence the exchange rate of rupiah to dollar during the period 1980.1- 2000.4. Using exchange rate model (balance of payment and monetary model) developed by Fullerton, Hattori, and Calderon (2001) this research tries to add two more variables, which are policy variable and crises variable. Unit root test with structural break is used to detect the breaks at the series during observation period. Cointegration test is used as requirement in the application of Engle-Granger Error Correction Model (EG-ECM). Cointegration test is commonly used by applying DF, ADF, and Johansen test. Johansen procedure which is to test the restrictions imposed by vector autoregression (VAR). In addition, general to specific, developed by Hendry, is applied to find the simplest estimation (parsimonious regression). ..."

"Regional economic growth influence by internal or external factors. Economic growth as indicated by the capabilities of a region to supplied various economic goods for the resident on the long run period. Various problem raised on cunjuction with regional economic growth. Regional disparities and equally development distributionn becoming main problem on regional growth. This research used the panel data (time series and cross section data) from various region. Data analysis aid by the use GLS (Generalized Least Square). …."

"This research aimed to knnow disparity of economic growing in Riau Province between regency. The data was analyzed with Kuadran System, Williamson Indeks, entropi Theil Indeks and the proof of Kuznets Hypotesis. From the research, can conclussion that only Pekanbaru city in first Kuadran (high growth and high income). The area that category into high growth but low income in Pelalawan, Kuantan Singingi, Indragiri Hulu and Siak Regency... Indragiri Hilir, Rokan Hulu and Kabupaten Kampar can categorized into high income but low growth, meanwhile the area categorized into low income and low growth are Rokan Hilir, Dumai, and Bengkalis. …."

"Tulisan ini hanya merupakan introduksi, hakekat dari krismon global serta makna stratejik dan momentum unik yang langka yang kita hadapi. Saya mengikuti dari dekat perkembangan KTT G-20 dan krismon sejak Nouriel Roubini menyampaikan peringatan dini pada sidang World Bank/IMF bulan September 2006. Semua orang masih tenang dan menganggap ramalan Roubine sebagai nujum pesimistis model Cassandra (peramal perang dan kehancuran Troya dalam mitologi Yunani). Ternyata Roubini benar dan sekarang menjadi pembicara terlaris dan tersibuk melanglangbuana ke seluruh dunia karena peringatannya tentang krismon global menjadi kenyataan yang menimpa banyak elite dan berdampak pada seluruh kehidupan masyarakat dunia."