ABSTRAKKebutuhan energi di Indonesia semakin meningkat dan cadangan gas alam
semakin menipis. Indonesia memiliki potensi shale gas yang besar dan perlu di
kembangkan. Pada tesis ini dibahas perbandingkan karakteristik shale gas di
Amerika dan Indonesia. Perbandingan perkembangan shale gas antara lain data
eksplorasi, teknologi, infrastruktur dan sistem kontrak. Perbandingan karakteristik
shale gas dari umur batuan, tipe endapan dan properti batuan menentukan
kesuksesan hydraulic fracturing. Studi shale gas dilakukan di Cekungan Bintuni
yang memiliki potensi Risked GIP 114,3 TCF dan TRR 28,6 TCF. Profil produksi
shale gas menggunakan metode penurunan hiperbolik dan perkiraan biaya
investasi berdasarkan data di Amerika dan Indonesia.
Analisa keekonomian shale gas di Cekungan Bintuni menunjukkan sistem
konsesi lebih menarik dibanding sistem PSC bagi perusahaan. Nilai IRR
maksimal sistem konsesi sebesar 16,57% sedangkan IRR maksimal sistem PSC
dengan porsi bagi hasil 55%:45% sebesar 15,8%. Pemberian insentif Tax Holiday
selama 5 tahun pada sistem PSC porsi bagi hasil 55%:45% pada tipe sumur
penurunan sedang memberikan IRR 14,04% dan pemasukan bagi negara $720
juta selama 20 tahun masa produksi
ABSTRACTIndonesia’s energy demand increases otherwise natural gas resources
diminish. Indonesia has big shale gas resources and need to be developed. This
thesis compares shale gas in America and Indonesia. Comparation of shale gas
development includes exploration data, technology, infrastructure and contract
system. Comparation of shale gas characteristic such as source rock age,
depositional type and property of rock determine hydraulic fracturing successes.
Shale gas study performed in Bintuni basin with 114,3 TCF Risked GIP and TRR
28,6 TCF. Production profile shale gas using hyperbolic decline curve method and
investment cost based on America and Indonesia data.
Economic analysis of shale gas in Bintuni basin shows that concession
system more attractive than PSC for company. The best IRR concession system
was 16,57% and PSC system was 15,8% on 55%:45% profit split. The present of
tax holiday incentive for 5 years using 55%:45% profit split on medium decline
rate wells results IRR 14,04% and $720 million for Government of Indonesia
during 20 year production lifetime.