ABSTRAKIndonesia mendapatkan kembali status layak investasi pada 15 Desember 2011
dari Lembaga Pemeringkat Fitch’s.Pencapaian ini ditunggu Indonesia selama 14
tahun setelah krisis Asia. Laporan ini menganalisa data 18 tahunan untuk
mendapatkan bukti tersebut. Variabel dependennya adalah investasi langsung
asing. Adapun variabel independen antara lain, cadangan devisa mata uang asing,
pertumbuhan ekonomi dan derajat keterbukaan. Ditambah dua dummy. Dummy 1
untuk kenaikan peringkat di risiko spekulatif, dan dummy 2 merefleksikan status
layak investasi. Karena semua variabel memiliki tingkat stasioneritas yang
berbeda, maka diputuskan menggunakan analisa pendekatan Autoregressive
Distributed Lag (ARDL). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan tidak ada hubungan
signifikan antara peringkat investasi dengan investasi langsung asing di Indonesia.
Begitupun dampak kenaikan peringkat di level spekulatif terhadap FDI. Variabel
yang signifikan hanyalah cadangan devisa mata uang asing.
ABSTRACTIndonesia regained its first investment grade in 15th December 2011 from
Fitch’s Rating Agency. This achievement had to wait for 14 years after Asian
Crisis. This paper analyzed 18 years data (1996-2013) to prove the effect of
investment grade on FDI. FDI measured as a dependent variable. The independent
variables were foreign reserve, growth, openness, and two dummies for the credit
ratings. Dummy1 reflected the fluctuated ratings in speculative time, in the other
hand dummy2 for the time Indonesia gained investment grade. Since the variables
had variety in stationary level (only openness was stationer in level), so i decided
to use Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach. The result showed that
there was no significant impact of investment grade (dummy2) toward FDI. Nor
the improvement of speculative grade toward FDI. The significant variable was
foreign reserve only.